Tuesday, December 28, 2021

Financial Planning quotes Moneta CEO Eric Kittner among industry leaders: “The RIA is the model that’s winning”

Financial Planning turned to Moneta CEO Eric Kittner as one of the key voices and thought leaders for a story about RIA industry trends heading into 2022.

Kittner provided insight on the flow of advisors leaving brokerage houses to become fiduciary RIAs, as well as the continued consolidation among RIA firms forming bigger companies.

Going Independent

“The momentum away from the wirehouses will continue. While there is still a massive amount of assets sitting in brokerage accounts, the going-independent and M&A deals of the last five years show that the move from brokerages to RIAs is picking up,” Kittner said, referencing a trend for both clients’ money and advisors themselves. “The RIA is the model that’s winning.”

Consolidation

“I think we’ll have 10 to 20 really large firms on a national basis,” Kittner said. He expects an acceleration of $500 million to $1 billion RIAs joining consolidators, as well as giant firms merging: “I wouldn’t be surprised to see a metafirm join a metafirm,” he said, citing the San Francisco investment bank DeVoe’s term for the biggest RIAs.

To read the full Financial Planning story, click here.

© 2021 Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved. Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC is an SEC registered investment advisor and wholly owned subsidiary of Moneta Group, LLC. Registration as an investment advisor does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Moneta is a service mark owned by Moneta Group, LLC. This article does not constitute an offer to sell or buy securities, nor does any statement contained herein represent any specific recommendation.

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Wednesday, December 22, 2021

Ask the CFP: How much money do I need to retire?

 

Hello everyone and welcome to this month’s Ask the CFP segment. This month’s question is, “” This brief question could easily turn into a long answer, but let’s first discuss how we view retirement goals. People generally have three types of goals in retirement – they have needs, such as healthcare, food and housing; they have wants such as new cars and annual travel, and they have wishes, such as gifts to charity, second homes or inheritance for family members.

When determining how much one “needs” for retirement, consider the total of expenses in the needs category. Let’s say this amounts to 100,000 dollars per year for easy math. If you need 100,000 per year to meet your basic needs, assuming you spend about 3.5% of your investments each year, a portfolio worth around 2.8 million dollars may provide enough income for a typical retirement of 25 years. If you add the retirement “wants” to the needs, this may bring annual spending from 100,000 dollars to 130,000 dollars per year. Using the same assumption of a 3.5% withdrawal rate, the portfolio may need to be around 3.7 million dollars. As you can probably guess, when you add in retirement “wishes” to the equation, the amount climbs even higher.

Retirement success greatly depends on having enough income on a monthly basis. If someone has enough income from Social Security, a pension and maybe a rental property or two, assuming these income sources keep up with inflation, they may not technically need much of a portfolio to meet their needs in retirement. However, since pensions are becoming a tool of the past and Social Security doesn’t provide enough income, having a portfolio to provide liquidity, income and possibly growth is key for most retirees.

Please keep in mind that I’m also simplifying what’s typically a very complex calculation. In reality, my earlier calculation excludes Social Security income, pension income, part-time income, inflation changes, longevity differences, risk and return differences, home upsizing or downsizing, income taxes and much more. This also assumes someone only spends 3.5% of their portfolio each year to protect principal, but in reality, that may not be someone’s goal to protect principal for 25 years. If you would like a very rough estimate of how much you’ll need to retire, you can divide your annual income need, less Social Security or other income, by your assumed withdrawal rate, such as 3.5%. However, determining how much money you’ll need to have a strong probability of success in retirement requires a much deeper and more meaningful calculation, not to mention the tax planning, gifting, long term care and estate matters that come into the equation.

Overall, when calculating your retirement needs, include as much detail as possible and categorize your goals into needs, wants and wishes. This may help you determine what’s reasonable based on your situation and what your options are as this next chapter in life approaches. If you have a question about this topic or have a question for next month’s video, please send it to DTroyer@monetagroup.com . Thanks for watching and we’ll see you next month.

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. Please speak with a qualified tax or legal professional before making any changes to your personal situation.

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Friday, December 17, 2021

Moneta CIO Aoifinn Devitt tells US News she expects inflation to be elevated in 2022

US News turned to Moneta CIO Aoifinn Devitt for expert commentary in its story about the Fed shifting gears by slashing bond-buying in half as it prioritizes inflation over employment.

Devitt said markets and consumers should not be surprised by the Powell “pivot” toward a less accommodative monetary stance.

“This, to me, has been very well telegraphed,” Devitt said, adding that markets have shown “stubborn resilience” in the face of possible higher interest rates. As for inflation, she sees that continuing to be an issue in 2022.

“Looking into next year, I do expect inflation to be elevated,” Devitt said.

Inflation has been a dominant theme over the course of 2021. As we approach the end of the year, we’ve recently seen inflation reach 39-year highs.

Earlier this year, Devitt recorded a video podcast about methods to make a portfolio inflation resilient.

You can watch this episode of “Moneta Moneywise” in full here. Below the video, Devitt provides a summary of the discussion.

In this discussion with Georgy Popov, a senior vice president and product strategist in the Newport Beach office of PIMCO, we discussed the persistent rise in inflation recently, and whether it was in fact transitory in nature. PIMCO’s view was that inflation could be higher than 5% at the upcoming announcement and would start recalibrating now to a higher level – possibly remaining over 4% for the remainder of 2021.   While it may flatten at the current levels, it considers that reverting back to the Fed target could be slow and bumpy, and that there remained risk to the upside.

PIMCO also notes that this is in line with a recovery period in markets, and its current growth estimate for 2021 is in excess of 7% GDP growth in the US. As inflation is a lagging indicator to growth, it is likely, therefore, that inflation will lag this recovery and will remain persistently high for some time.

It was commented that “inflation does not behave in a ‘well-behaved way.’” Professional forecasters can often be “off” by 1% either way 40% of the time and markets tend to overcorrect in response to even a hint that the Fed will resume its tightening cycle.

We talked then about what is in the “basket” that is used to calculate inflation and that there has been significant variance in the price behavior of its components recently – as an example, used cars are currently considerably higher in price due to a shortage of components for new vehicles, which is driving demand in the used car segment, while gas prices are also higher. On the other hand, owner equivalent rent, which is a proxy used for the expenses of home ownership has been very low recently and has dragged the average inflation level down (this represents around one third of the basket).

I asked Mr. Popov whether we should be concerned about the base effect, in that year-on-year price rises are currently being compared to 2020 when, due to COVID-19 disruptions, prices might have been artificially depressed. He suggested that while this might contribute to the shock of the year-on-year number, its role should not be overstated, as the month-over-month changes (some of which have been as high as 1%) do not include the base effect.

We talked also about whether higher inflation is a global phenomenon, and Mr. Popov suggested that it was, but that it was most pronounced in the US, especially as the rest of the world was still dealing with the negative effects of COVID-19 with lower vaccination levels and a sluggish recovery.

Moving to how inflation might impact portfolios, it was noted that inflation can have a negative impact on portfolios, especially when there are shocks in the short term. Furthermore, the correlation between equities and bonds (typically negative over the long term) can increase during high inflationary periods. This, therefore, leads to weakening the benefits of a diversified portfolio when inflation is high or rising.

As far as how traditional asset classes might react in an inflationary environment, we discussed the following:

  • Equities – tend to be positively correlated with inflation in the long term, but negatively correlated in the short term, particularly if there are shocks. Therefore, in a high inflationary environment, equities might initially underperform.
  • Bonds – like equities, these can be positively correlated with inflation in the long term, as higher inflation leads to higher interest rates (typically) leading to higher yields on bonds – eventually. In the near term, however, nominal bonds tend to perform negatively in an inflationary environment. When inflation is high and nominal yields are low, this can lead to volatile and sometimes negative real yields – which diminishes the attractiveness of bonds.
  • TIPS – inflation-linked bonds have an inflation beta of 1, but ultimately only produce a low rate of return. They display low volatility (4-5% range typically).
  • Commodities – while there is no contractual link to inflation, commodities do tend to have positive inflation beta – and to rise in a rising inflation environment. We did discuss at the end of the podcast that current ESG risk awareness did present a headwind to certain commodities – particularly fossil fuels, and that caution should be exercised as a result. Industrial metals, on the other hand, did look interesting with demand rising and sizeable opportunities in that segment, tied to the economic recovery. This asset class can also have high volatility of 15-17%.
  • REITS – as REITS are also equities they tend to (like equities) have low inflation beta in the near term but to have good inflation exposure in the long term as rents can be explicitly connected to inflation or to present some linkage. They also present a consistent source of income. Certain segments, such as cell towers, hotels and industrial real estate currently present attractive sectors, notwithstanding some of the ongoing challenges in the office segment.
  • Infrastructure – while infrastructure investing can be positively correlated to inflation. To have an income component, Mr. Popov cautioned that most investment opportunities in this segment are long-dated with low liquidity. He mentioned that MLPs are an appropriate way to gain access but could display higher volatility. Given their tie to energy infrastructure, they might experience some of the same headwinds that all energy might face from a focus on ESG risks.

A question we covered after the recording was whether we should look at inflation sensitivity at the overall portfolio level or just to build in certain “inflation fighters.” It was suggested that a typical investment portfolio with a typical exposure to equities and bonds would be structurally negatively correlated to inflation. Shifting this to a positively correlated positioning would adversely impact returns as it would involve de-emphasizing traditional return drivers such as equities and bonds. It was recommended, instead, that certain segments of the portfolio are reserved as “inflation fighters” and positioned for inflation shocks. These should be considered as risk mitigators and not the key return drivers of the portfolio.

©2021, Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC. These materials have been prepared for informational purposes only based on materials deemed reliable, but the accuracy of which has not been verified. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. You cannot invest directly in an index. These materials do not constitute an offer or recommendation to buy or sell securities, and do not take into consideration your circumstances, financial or otherwise. You should consult with an appropriately credentialed investment professional before making any investment decision.

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Tuesday, December 14, 2021

CNBC Select quotes Moneta Partner Patrick McGinnis about investing in the stock market

CNBC Select turned to Moneta Partner Patrick McGinnis as an “investing guru” for a story on myths about investing in the stock market.

McGinnis first addressed the misconception that investing in the stock market is like gambling.

“In gambling, somebody wins and another person loses,” McGinnis said. “Investing is to make a profit, and that profit is distributed to shareholders, making it a long-term way of gaining wealth versus short-term speculation.”

He also spoke about the misconception that investors can time the market, noting that this is incredibly difficult because two decisions need to be made with precision: when to get out and when to buy back in.

To illustrate his point, McGinnis gave the example of how investors were looking to pull out of the market in the early days of the COVID pandemic while claiming that they would get back in when things got better.

“Selling low and buying high is not a way to make money in the market,” McGinnis said.

Click here to read the full story by CNBC Select.

© 2021 Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved. Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC is an SEC registered investment advisor and wholly owned subsidiary of Moneta Group, LLC. Registration as an investment advisor does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Moneta is a service mark owned by Moneta Group, LLC. This article does not constitute an offer to sell or buy securities, nor does any statement contained herein represent any specific recommendation.

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Moneta in the News: November 2021

November was another busy month in the media for our team across local, trade and national business publications! Check out some of our media highlights below.

Ingram’s: Framing your philanthropy for a season of giving

  • Margie Carmody, Advisor, shared her insight on strategies to make the most of charitable giving during the holiday season with this Kansas City outlet.

St. Louis Post-Dispatch: New hires for St. Andrew’s, Pack4U, Mia Rose, Moneta Trust

  • Covering the latest happenings in the St. Louis business community, this local outlet shared the hiring news of Matthew Harlan as Director of Trust Services for Moneta Trust in its recent people moves round-up.

MarketWatch: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq end at record highs, extending streak of weekly gains on Pfizer pill study, stronger-than-expected jobs report

  • CIO Aoifinn Devitt shared her take on the latest batch of earning reports as well as her outlook for the holiday season.

 The Wall Street Journal: Stocks close lower, bond yields rise after inflation hits 31-year high

  • Inflation has certainly been a key theme this year. Our CIO Aoifinn Devitt shared her thoughts and remarks on the market’s muted reaction.

 InvestmentNews: Wirehouses nudging into the RIA space and what to expect for capital gains in 2021

  • In this podcast, Eric Kittner, CEO and Chairman, shared his insight on financial advisory industry trends, and specifically wirehouses entering the registered investment advisor (RIA) space.

Citywire: Moneta adds analyst in team restructure

  • We’re working to deepen our bench of professionals to meet evolving client demands. In this article, CIO Aoifinn Devitt commented on the expansion of her team, particularly noting the hiring of analysts Timothy Side and Mark Webster.

For the latest insights from our professionals, visit the Moneta team on LinkedIn, Facebook and Twitter.

© 2021 Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved. Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC is an SEC registered investment advisor and wholly owned subsidiary of Moneta Group, LLC. Registration as an investment advisor does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Moneta is a service mark owned by Moneta Group, LLC. These articles do not individually or collectively constitute an offer to sell or buy securities, nor does any statement contained herein represent any specific recommendation.

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source https://monetagroup.com/blog/moneta-in-the-news-november-2021/

Monday, December 6, 2021

InvestmentNews Podcast features Moneta CEO Eric Kittner in conversation about RIA industry trends

Moneta CEO Eric Kittner appeared as the featured guest on The InvestmentNews Podcast to discuss the recent trend of wirehouses trying to make inroads in the RIA space. The conversation also touched on what the influx of money is doing to the RIA marketplace and if Moneta is pricing itself out of the market for their own next-gen Partners.

You can listen to the full podcast here.

Below is a transcript of the conversation.

HOST: Got a lot on the docket today, kicking it off with Eric Kittner, Chairman and CEO of Moneta, a $27.4 billion RIA. We’re going to talk about some movement in the wealth management space, looking at how they’ll move the wirehouse industry or the some of the wirehouse firms. Primarily, JP Morgan is trying to nudge its way into the RIA space. Eric’s going to enlighten us a little bit on that. We were talking about JP Morgan trying to establish an RIA type of call center remote business. They revealed that in a filing on a new Form ADV as of November 1, so a couple of weeks ago. That comes on the heels of Goldman Sachs a couple of years ago buying United Capital. We’re interested in talking to guys who are true RIA industry people and their impressions of Wall Street kind of making inroads in this business – these big Wall Street banks. But first, if you can tell us a little bit about yourself and Moneta and I know you guys are making acquisitions too, of course.

ERIC: Happy to give a little bit of background. I have been in the industry for now approaching 19 years. I actually came out of the accounting world. I spent four years in public accounting. Started with Arthur Andersen on the East Coast and we ran into the Enron issue and caused a lot of disruption. So, I found myself moving to the Midwest with my wife and went to work for a regional firm and really kind of stumbled I would say across the RIA space. As I discovered what I wanted to be when I grew up, I found I wanted to be in the RIA space. I found Moneta in 2003. I joined the firm and for the first really 14 years of my career, I was solely focused on building a client business. I had a partner at the time, and we focused on providing comprehensive – what we call Family CFO services to successful high-net-worth, ultra-high-net-worth families and really spent my first 14 years doing that in a fee-only capacity.

HOST: So, you were an advisor in other words?

ERIC: So, I was an advisor, correct. I’ve seen a lot of change, obviously, in the industry. One of the things that our firm, Moneta, is focused on is having a succession plan and building a sustainable business. In true to form, the Partners of the firm felt that in 2018 I was the right next person to lead the firm and I have been leading the strategic direction of Moneta since January of 2018. At that time, we were solely focused on the organic growth model – hiring, training, developing next gen talents. Now we’ve looked at the world and said we have to continue that organic growth engine, but we’ve also looked at M&A activity and expansion beyond St. Louis and we’ve been doing that now for the last four to five years.

HOST: Amazing how much the world has changed in three years, four years or so. Right?

ERIC: It’s pretty amazing. As we get into the discussion on the RIA landscape, it’s pretty remarkable what we’re seeing in this space at this point with the activity, the transactions and, you know, I’ve heard a lot of experts in this area talk about how this is really the beginning of the ballgame. You know, people have referenced the first or second inning of a baseball game, and the only thing I would say is it’s maybe the first or sending second inning of a game that could be a doubleheader. I think we’re very early on and we’re starting to see significant momentum in the era of space. We obviously have our thoughts and opinions as to why that is, but I think we’re really just getting started.

HOST: So, before we talk about Moneta’s expansion strategy a little bit and how that’s altered under you, when you take over as CEO in 2018, there’s no – Goldman Sachs hasn’t bought United capital yet, right? I think right at that time, UBS and Morgan Stanley said we’re stepping out of the broker protocol for recruiting. So, that had just happened, which was to slow down the exit of their advisors into firms like yours or setting up their own RIAs, which would eventually become a part of a larger RIA like Moneta. And JP Morgan hadn’t opened its own RIA call center, remote advisor group, which is opening up right now. And I count private equity money as being part of Wall Street. So, the flood of private equity money hadn’t reached its heights as it is now or maybe in the future. Just speak about your perception of this, all this attention and all this money from Wall Street and what is it doing to the RIA marketplace and if you care to comment specifically on Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan or anybody else.

ERIC: Well, I would say if I looked at what we believe the RIA model – it’s winning, is what all this is telling you.

HOST: What do you mean by that?

ERIC: It’s winning in the fact that the consumer, at the end of the day I believe, is fundamentally being drawn to the RIA model, which is the fiduciary model. You know, I started 19 years ago in the industry, and we had people that would walk in our door and they’d say, I’m not paying my broker anything. And to a knowledge base, there were people that just didn’t know. It wasn’t transparent. It wasn’t clear. It wasn’t described to them. And as crazy as that would seem to me sitting in the space and sitting in an office having that conversation, I realized that that was more still the norm in the industry. So, fast forward 19 years and I think the fiduciary standard – actually acting in a fiduciary capacity as an advisor is the model that resonates best with the consumer at the end client.

HOST: So, Wall Street is interested in RIAs because it’s siphoning clients? They’re losing their large clients to RIAs?

ERIC: I believe that the consumer understands the differences – is learning more about what it means to be a true fiduciary rather than to act in a suitability standard but truly act as an advocate. I believe that there are plenty of advisors that say I want to be a true fiduciary for my clients. The intersection of those two things is really the RIA marketplace.

HOST: Do you think the Goldman Sachs’s and the JP Morgan’s, can they be successful here?

ERIC: From a general perspective? Yes. I think the reality is there’s going to be multiple flavors of RIAs in the world. So, at the end of the day, the RIA is the model, but we’re going to have lots of different flavors of RIAs that are going to exist to meet various consumer demands. So, when you look at the JP Morgan model, what I’ve read on it is that it’s going to be the more – I’ll call it the mass affluent, if I read it correctly, though, I think you have to have an account of $25,000 or above. That’s a very different model than a firm like Moneta, who’s focused on high-net-worth, ultra-high-net-worth and a very low client-to-advisor ratio – less than 50 clients per advisor. That model is different than JP Morgan. It doesn’t mean that JP Morgan won’t be successful. They’ve got a machine. They’ve got tremendous infrastructure to build out that RIA. What they’re shooting for, at least in the initial onset, is a little bit different than the client that we serve.

HOST: I hear this a lot from the RIA space about consumers – the fiduciary standard resonating with consumers. I guess, I think this “best interest” and “fiduciary standard,” I just believe that that is noise to most consumers. I mean, you might have some really sophisticated consumers that are in touch in reading the fine print and all their statements and everything and they know what they’re paying their advisor, but I think it’s a lot more popular to talk about within the wealth management space than it is among consumers. Consumers get “best interest” and it’s explained and they think, oh, my guy is looking out for my best interest and my guy, you know, he’s operating under fiduciary standard. I don’t know if you if you’ve actually surveyed consumers, Eric, or if you’ve actually talked to each of your clients. I’m not saying that your clients don’t completely get it 100%. I know it’s explained to them, but I guess I still believe that it’s too much of a mishmash. I’m asking if you see the potential for confusion out there among consumers.

ERIC: There’s a tremendous amount of confusion from a consumer perspective. But, anecdotally, we work with 6,000 high-net-worth, ultra-high net worth families across the country. I will tell you more and more as we’re interviewed in in working with those families, the question comes up, “Are you a fiduciary?” So, I’m not saying that the general population of consumer understands the difference between best interests or a true fiduciary, but I’m going to tell you from a high-net-worth or ultra-high-net-worth consumer base, it’s different. So you can’t take every potential client out there and say the level of education or knowledge in the industry is the same. And that’s not a that’s not a knock on anyone. That’s just the facts that more of our clients that have a significant asset base are well aware of the difference between a traditional wirehouse and broker versus a true fiduciary in an RIA space.

HOST: Well, we’ll see how that continues to morph with operations like JP Morgan coming out with their own RIAs and then they’re going to be fiduciaries. I’m not saying anybody’s not making a real effort. I just feel like I’m kind of buried in this stuff all day long and I still can’t imagine how consumers can figure it out because half the time I can’t figure it out and it’s my job to figure it out. Anyway, do you guys have private equity backers?

ERIC: We don’t. You’ve seen a flood of capital to the space. So, I talked about the business model working and winning as I believe that’s kind of the vehicle that makes the most sense as you build out your wealth management business. We have avoided outside capital. We’ve been operating as a partner owned firm. We have 50 equity partners in the firm. We’re the owners of the firm and we really believe fundamentally that puts us in a position where the only people we have to answer to are our clients and our talent. What we have avoided is outside influence of capital. Frankly, approaching $30 billion of assets under management at this point, we’ve got capital internally. We’ve got enough scale and size that if we need to invest in the business, we could do that. Fundamentally, we’re focused on transitioning our generation of owners internally, meaning that we fundamentally believe to be a fiduciary and to serve our clients for generations to come – we’re focused on building sustainable businesses, which means our underlying client relationships get transferred from one generation to the next to the next. The business owners get paid for that and there’s an internal transaction. What we believe is that’s fundamentally the best answer for our clients and we don’t need outside capital in that model.

HOST: You know, it’s funny, I was reading something the other day about the challenge that’s facing some of the more traditional succession plans, especially when it’s ownership inside the firm buying the senior people out because of all these valuations spiking so much and you got to get private equity some of the credit for driving up those valuations. Are you worried at all about that – about pricing yourself out of the market for your next generation advisors to be able to buy your firm?

ERIC: Obviously, it’s a really relevant topic right now given where valuations are. You’re seeing a bank like CI come in and scoop up – not $200 million or $300 million firms, but $5 billion and $7 billion and $9 billion firms at what appear to be incredibly rich valuations from our perspective. At the end of the day, yeah, we have to be conscious of what’s happening in the outside market, but I think that speaks to a bit of the culture of our firm in the commitment to our clients. There’s two things. One is this is a snapshot in time. This is the current valuation, but things can change in the in the future. They may not always be as frothy. You may not have firms that have a near-zero cost of capital forever. So, valuations can change and this is a snapshot in time. But the other the other piece is if you look at our model and you look at our next-gen advisors who come in and help build the business and then own the business, this sum total of the transaction of our teams that go from first-gen to second-gen, it’s not a one-to-one, one partner to the next. It’s often one or multi partners to multi partners and that wealth transfer happens over 10 to 15 years in aggregate. It’s not necessarily all that different than a transaction externally. And fundamentally, our belief is it allows us to look our clients in the face or continue to travel with them or play golf with them or hunt and fish when we’re retired and know the team who’s taking care of them and loving them and providing the services because our commitment to them was we’re going to have that team in place and we’re not going to sell it to an outside party.

HOST: When is the last acquisition you guys made?

ERIC: So, we had the Berry Group in Worcester, Mass join us really earlier this year. Our model in that transaction is – Mike and Sarah, the partners of the firm, they had spun onto the Wells RIA platform. They left the traditional wirehouse model of Wells to go on to the Wells RIA platform. They realized pretty quickly that they needed scale and size to help them grow the business and run the business. So, here’s our story. Advisors got into business to provide advice. We’re passionate about sitting across from clients and helping them accomplish the goals and objectives they have. As we grow, you have all kinds of other needs – from a technology solution, from an investment planning perspective, from recruiting and anything in between. As a firm that had about $700 million in assets under management, Mike and Sarah are spending most of their time running the business rather than focused on their clients and growing the business. They partnered with Moneta, they partner with us, they come on board, they take the Moneta brand. We at Moneta have 425 folks across the firm, but 110 of those folks are specifically there to provide the back and middle office services for Mike and Sarah to recommend business. So, compliance goes off their plate – fee billing, onboarding of new clients.

HOST: My question is really about the competition out there to buy firms and especially the larger firms and you guys are certainly in that space. I don’t know maybe people are asking you questions as a target. But, what do you think of CI financial in Toronto coming down here and just buying big giant firms and buying like crazy? They announced their 26th deal in two years just this morning. They got $96 billion in US RIA assets from zero just two years ago. That’s, to me, the best example of somebody pushing up valuations.

ERIC: I think I think their argument is that’s the way that they’re going to create real scale – not talking about 2 or 5 billion, but talking about 100 or 200 or 300 billion in the RIA space. What I think about that is, at the end of the day, there’s firms that are getting paid a significant multiple to sell their client relationships to a large bank building an RIA. I think the inherent challenges that will come along with that are the integrations of culture, the integration of the technology stack, that support I get as an advisor on that platform – all the things that it takes to integrate $96 billion coming together in a couple of short years and to do it in a strategic in way that ultimately works for the end clients. So, what we see in the M&A space is a lot of the rhetoric about how it’s multiples in the ownership and the second gen can’t afford and all the other aspects. What we don’t see as much about is how it affects the end client. What’s the impact on the end client? The firm in Boston merged in with us. They become a partner on our platform as part of our brand, but we didn’t write him a check and they weren’t forced to sell us their clients. So, our model is a bit different. I’m not sure that every acquisition is going to prove to be a good acquisition, and if you’re paying that multiple, you better have a really good internal model for kicking up organic growth. For it to make sense from a return perspective, you better have a good organic growth engine and have a really good way to support those firms coming on the platform to help them grow.

HOST: I think the big question I’m left with end of the interview for the future as we keep an eye on Moneta is how are you going to stave off these giant private equity firms? You’re going to need a big stick to beat these guys back. A firm like yours must be very – you must be getting calls every day or every week from potential buyers.

ERIC: Yeah, you can imagine we get we get pinged every now and again. It doesn’t really take a stick, it really takes a commitment from the partner base to focus on, you know, let’s not get caught up in the noise. I think we’ll be just fine staying steady, having partner capital and finding good firms that want to join and see the benefit of transitioning our clients internally from generation to generation. It’s not for everybody, but I think we’re big enough where we can compete in the space where we are.

© 2021 Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC is an SEC registered investment advisor and wholly owned subsidiary of Moneta Group, LLC. Registration as an investment advisor does not imply a certain level of skill or training. The opinions expressed by Mr. Kittner during the podcast episode do not represent any specific recommendation, nor is the content an offer to buy or sell securities.

The post InvestmentNews Podcast features Moneta CEO Eric Kittner in conversation about RIA industry trends appeared first on Moneta | Fee Only Financial Planning | Investment Advisors | Clients Nationwide.



source https://monetagroup.com/blog/investmentnews-podcast-features-moneta-ceo-eric-kittner-in-conversation-about-ria-industry-trends/

Friday, December 3, 2021

WATCH: Moneta CIO Aoifinn Devitt discusses US equities and inflation on Bloomberg

Bloomberg interviewed Moneta CIO Aoifinn Devitt about U.S. equities as investors keep an eye on inflation, interest rates and market volatility in the final month of a record year.

Devitt noted the propensity of investors to “buy the dip” because so much money is sitting on the sidelines.

“Flows into equity funds this year were larger than cumulative flows of the last 19 years,” Devitt said. “Clearly we have a large appetite for risk. A lot of money sitting is on the sidelines ready and poised to buy into risk – which it needs to do because of the persistent low interest rates.”

Below is an overview of the questions Bloomberg asked and her responses. You can watch the interview here.

Q: What if we end up with interest rates much higher than anticipated? How do I position for that?

A: That certainly seems like a remote tail risk at this point. We’ve seen a hesitancy from Fed around any tightening of any kind even in face of obvious inflation indicators. Maintain your core allocation to fixed income. It won’t be making much money recently. It’s in portfolio as a ballast, an anchor, a form of deflation hedge. That fixed income will start to come through when interest rates rise. Initially may be a bit of a hit to existing fixed income but ultimately where you’ll want to be. That’s a problem for equities if we see a steepening of yield curve because we’ll see a rotation out of equities to finally some yield in fixed income.

Q: Under what conditions economically could that actually happen?

A: We’d have to see persistently higher inflation, much higher than we’ve already seen. That’s the only trigger I see. I see markets as still being fragile. They are resilient but fragile. They’ve been resilient in the face geo-political news that doesn’t seem to move markets that seem to just want to go in one direction. The fragility is what we see in the demand for bonds. Bond demand hasn’t subsided despite low interest rates, which tells me there is a lot of desire to protect and hedge against a flight to safety.

Q: What is the sensitivity in the bottom end of the credit market to higher interest rates?

A: I don’t think we have a particularly high sensitivity. We’ve seen very low rates in default in credit – unrealistically low rates of default. There probably is a desire and need to normalize that and still for credit portfolios to stand up. The reason for the low rates is because we saw this artificial stimulus and the desire to kick the can down the road and extend, pretend and not force companies to come to reckoning. I don’t see fixed income is going to be that sensitive to changing rates at moment. In the long term, yes, but right now it’s been circling around somewhat unrealistic situation that’s persisted.

Q: Volatility is picking up. How seriously are you taking price moves now and in the next few weeks as we’re living off the Omicron headlines?

A: We’re at the end of a year where records have been set in almost every month. We’ve seen new highs set in the NASDAQ and S&P. So even though this sharp volatility is surprising and sent a chill through markets, we still have a significant bank of equity returns to enjoy. I see there will continue to be some profit taking, but also preparing for 2022. Looking at where portfolio needs to be exposed. Maintaining that core exposure across both the stay-at-home stock as well as the economy reopening stocks. The focus on electric vehicles, renewable energy and the energy transition are themes I think will have a lot of legs as we move into 2022.

©2021, Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC. These materials have been prepared for informational purposes only based on materials deemed reliable, but the accuracy of which has not been verified. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. You cannot invest directly in an index. These materials do not constitute an offer or recommendation to buy or sell securities, and do not take into consideration your circumstances, financial or otherwise. You should consult with an appropriately credentialed investment professional before making any investment decision.

The post WATCH: Moneta CIO Aoifinn Devitt discusses US equities and inflation on Bloomberg appeared first on Moneta | Fee Only Financial Planning | Investment Advisors | Clients Nationwide.



source https://monetagroup.com/blog/watch-moneta-cio-aoifinn-devitt-discusses-us-equities-and-inflation-on-bloomberg/

Thursday, December 2, 2021

Moneta in the news: Introducing our new Head of Alternative Investments Andrew Kelsen

In case you missed it, we’ve appointed seasoned professional Andrew Kelsen as our Head of Alternative Investments! This move supports our evolving client needs as Andrew brings with him a vast network of relationships to leverage, helping expand our resource offerings and investment opportunities.

See below for the top media highlights resulting from the announcement:

HFM Global: New Moneta alternatives head starts to explore hedge funds

  • Andrew Kelsen, Head of Alternative Investments, spoke with reporter Sasha Fedorenko to discuss his background in the industry and his criteria when considering hedge fund managers’ pitches.

*Full text available upon request.

Family Wealth Report: Who’s moving where in wealth management? – Moneta, Cambridge Associates

  • Covering news across the wealth management industry, this outlet shared the announcement of our new Head of Alternative Investments Andrew Kelsen, detailing his responsibilities for the position and highlighting his impressive background.

Financial Planning: Raymond James, LPL Financial, Stifel, plus royal funding, domestic partner certification and more

  • In this well-known industry publication, Andrew Kelsen, Head of Alternative Investments, shared what led him to join Moneta and his vision for the new role.

WealthManagement.com: Fund news advisors can use: Direct indexing to grow faster than ETFs, SMAs and mutual funds

  • News of Andrew Kelsen’s position as Head of Alternative Investments spread quickly. Reporter Diana Britton included the announcement in her weekly industry news roundup.

Financial Investment News: Moneta welcomes former Chicago Teachers Interim CIO 

  • Aoifinn Devitt, CIO, discussed the details of the hire of Andrew Kelsen as Head of Alternative Investments. Within the article, Andrew’s vast experience and expertise for the new position is highlighted.

We always share the latest company news on our social media channels. Visit us on LinkedIn, Facebook and Twitter for more information.

© 2021 Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved. Moneta Group Investment Advisors, LLC is an SEC registered investment advisor and wholly owned subsidiary of Moneta Group, LLC. Registration as an investment advisor does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Moneta is a service mark owned by Moneta Group, LLC. These articles do not individually or collectively constitute an offer to sell or buy securities, nor does any statement contained herein represent any specific recommendation.

The post Moneta in the news: Introducing our new Head of Alternative Investments Andrew Kelsen appeared first on Moneta | Fee Only Financial Planning | Investment Advisors | Clients Nationwide.



source https://monetagroup.com/blog/moneta-in-the-news-introducing-our-new-head-of-alternative-investments-andrew-kelsen/

The X Factor: Congress Faces Tight Timeline for Debt Ceiling Resolution

Chris Kamykowski , CFA ® , CFP ® – Head of Investment Strategy and Research Rich McDonald , MBA – Head of Portfolio Management and Trading...